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Thread: Sudden stratospheric warming

  1. #1
    Join Date
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    Default Sudden stratospheric warming

    The title makes it sound like a good thing, but the meteorologists are watching the polar vortex and are concerned about a sudden stratospheric warming. A strong polar vortex is a good thing, as it stays in place over the far north, a weak one allows cold air to slip down into Canada and the United States. A sudden stratospheric warming weakens the polar vortex and could lead to colder than normal temperatures at the end of February and into March. Not an absolute and it is not expected to be super dramatic colder weather, but as we consider when to tap in the northern latitudes, it might be something to throw into the equation.

    Hint unless you are a weather geek, skip to the bottom of the link. I started reading it all and I understood it, and found it interesting,but eventually it started coming across as blah, blah, blah

    https://www.severe-weather.eu/global...tes-europe-fa/
    2022 - 5 pan block arch - 109 taps, 73 on 3/16 lines, 36 on drops into 5 gallon pails.
    930 gallons boiled, 109 L (28.8 gals) of delicious syrup made.
    DYI Vacuum Filter
    2023 - 170 taps, mostly on lines, 1153 gallons boiled, 130 L (34.34 gals) of delicious syrup made, on a 2x4 divided pan and base stack, 8” pipe, on a block arch that boiled at a rate of 13 gallons per hour.
    2024 - made 48 L, December to March, primarily over two fire bowls.

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Feb 2015
    Location
    Warren, MA
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    Default

    All I do is look at my weather app, hope they are 10% accurate and wait and see. People ask me all the time, "how will your season be this year?". It's farming. Doesn't matter if your version of farming is planting crops, making hay or tapping trees. Mother Nature determines how well your season will be!

    It was an interesting article FWIW.... thanks for sharing!
    2016 - 2 x 4 Randy Worthen built arch and pans 11 taps; 2.625 gallons of syrup!
    2017 - 29 taps; 11.625 gallons of syrup!
    2018 - 30 taps; 98 pints bottled! New sugar house being built, new equipment coming!
    2019 - 125 taps; 50 gallons made! New 2x6 Smoky Lake Corsair arch, drop flue pan, auto draw. Smoky Lake filter press and Steam Bottler
    2020 - 173 taps; only 35 gallons made.
    2021 - 242 taps; New record! 50.5 gallons made!
    2022 - 321 taps; New record! 80 gallons made!

  3. #3
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    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by DMF View Post
    All I do is look at my weather app, hope they are 10% accurate and wait and see. People ask me all the time, "how will your season be this year?". It's farming. Doesn't matter if your version of farming is planting crops, making hay or tapping trees. Mother Nature determines how well your season will be!

    It was an interesting article FWIW.... thanks for sharing!
    When I start talking about weather, my Buddy just says he looks out his window.
    2022 - 5 pan block arch - 109 taps, 73 on 3/16 lines, 36 on drops into 5 gallon pails.
    930 gallons boiled, 109 L (28.8 gals) of delicious syrup made.
    DYI Vacuum Filter
    2023 - 170 taps, mostly on lines, 1153 gallons boiled, 130 L (34.34 gals) of delicious syrup made, on a 2x4 divided pan and base stack, 8” pipe, on a block arch that boiled at a rate of 13 gallons per hour.
    2024 - made 48 L, December to March, primarily over two fire bowls.

  4. #4
    Join Date
    Jul 2021
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    Parry Sound Area, Ontario
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    Default

    I guess the forecast came true. The west will get the worst of it, but at least in Northern Ontario, we will get a cold spring because of it.

    https://www.theweathernetwork.com/en...-out-your-fate
    2022 - 5 pan block arch - 109 taps, 73 on 3/16 lines, 36 on drops into 5 gallon pails.
    930 gallons boiled, 109 L (28.8 gals) of delicious syrup made.
    DYI Vacuum Filter
    2023 - 170 taps, mostly on lines, 1153 gallons boiled, 130 L (34.34 gals) of delicious syrup made, on a 2x4 divided pan and base stack, 8” pipe, on a block arch that boiled at a rate of 13 gallons per hour.
    2024 - made 48 L, December to March, primarily over two fire bowls.

  5. #5
    Join Date
    Jul 2021
    Location
    Parry Sound Area, Ontario
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    Default

    The Canadian Spring outlook will come out March 1st, but the US Weather Channel Spring outlook is out and it looks like a colder than normal March and even April affecting Wisconsin and Michigan the most where sap flows. It goes without saying that it will also be true in Ontario and Quebec. I am not sure how it will affect the Maritimes.

    For some this will be good news extending their season and for others a delay and maybe a big delay to the start of their season.

    https://weather.com/forecast/nationa...g-outlook-2023
    2022 - 5 pan block arch - 109 taps, 73 on 3/16 lines, 36 on drops into 5 gallon pails.
    930 gallons boiled, 109 L (28.8 gals) of delicious syrup made.
    DYI Vacuum Filter
    2023 - 170 taps, mostly on lines, 1153 gallons boiled, 130 L (34.34 gals) of delicious syrup made, on a 2x4 divided pan and base stack, 8” pipe, on a block arch that boiled at a rate of 13 gallons per hour.
    2024 - made 48 L, December to March, primarily over two fire bowls.

  6. #6
    Join Date
    Mar 2015
    Location
    Wind Lake, WI
    Posts
    523

    Default

    Will be interesting to see how this pans out. I'm near Milwaukee, so near the line of normal; trending a bit cool. Already been going strong and the forecast shows a cooldown coming. If this puts us a bit cooler than normal through March/April it could be a really long season!!
    42.82N
    2015 - Small operation. 25 buckets. One excited 5 year old and one 35 year old that feels 5 again.
    2016 - One year older. New Homemade 2x4 Arch, Smoky Lake Pan and looking at 52 maples, 17 box elders and 2 walnut trees.
    2017 - Shurflo 4008 hooked to 42 stingy silver maples and a few Norways. A couple buckets on sugars and Norways. 10 box elders.
    2018 - ...a few more taps.
    2019 - ...more taps on 3/16 gravity. This spiral is heading downward in a hurry.
    2020 - 4x400 RO - RB20 (uh-oh!)

  7. #7
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    Jul 2021
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    Parry Sound Area, Ontario
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    Default

    The sudden stratospheric warming event I posted about I early February is still a thing.

    https://www.theweathernetwork.com/en...winter-weather

    Although that is bad news for us in Northern Ontario, it could make for a prolonged sap season for sugar makers south of us.
    2022 - 5 pan block arch - 109 taps, 73 on 3/16 lines, 36 on drops into 5 gallon pails.
    930 gallons boiled, 109 L (28.8 gals) of delicious syrup made.
    DYI Vacuum Filter
    2023 - 170 taps, mostly on lines, 1153 gallons boiled, 130 L (34.34 gals) of delicious syrup made, on a 2x4 divided pan and base stack, 8” pipe, on a block arch that boiled at a rate of 13 gallons per hour.
    2024 - made 48 L, December to March, primarily over two fire bowls.

  8. #8
    Join Date
    Jul 2021
    Location
    Parry Sound Area, Ontario
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    1,348

    Default

    Here is the more technical link to what will happen in March and it gets easier reading as you get further into the article where it talks about actual forecasts.

    https://www.severe-weather.eu/global...ada-europe-fa/
    2022 - 5 pan block arch - 109 taps, 73 on 3/16 lines, 36 on drops into 5 gallon pails.
    930 gallons boiled, 109 L (28.8 gals) of delicious syrup made.
    DYI Vacuum Filter
    2023 - 170 taps, mostly on lines, 1153 gallons boiled, 130 L (34.34 gals) of delicious syrup made, on a 2x4 divided pan and base stack, 8” pipe, on a block arch that boiled at a rate of 13 gallons per hour.
    2024 - made 48 L, December to March, primarily over two fire bowls.

  9. #9
    Join Date
    Jan 2018
    Location
    Hartford
    Posts
    47

    Default

    A unique volcanic eruption seems to be a major source of the anomaly:

    https://www.npr.org/2022/08/03/11153...-water-warming

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